Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236995           1          28          58          12           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100650           1          16          55          25           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   7.27729e-07           1           0          53          37           9        C9.3
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             0.75       13.50       56.25       25.50        4.00     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C5.9