Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236744           1          30          58           9           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100285           2          17          56          23           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.96497e-07           1           0          56          36           7        C8.5
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.25       13.25       56.00       25.75        3.75     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7