Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237464           2          26          60          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101862           2          18          57          21           2        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   8.17558e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.00       13.50       58.25       22.50        3.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0