Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242584           1          15          61          20           3        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110351           2          12          64          15           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.35879e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.00       13.75       52.50       25.25        6.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      M2.9