Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243008           2          15          60          20           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112042           3           5          66          17           9        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.37277e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            74           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.75        7.00       51.50       32.25        7.50     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      X1.0