Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243726           3          13          55          24           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113278           3           4          71          18           4        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   1.38670e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             2.00        4.25       55.25       31.25        7.25     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      M4.2