Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240031           2          14          61          22           1        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107916           2          12          66          17           3        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   9.09811e-07           1           0          46          46           7        M1.1
est. ISN   =            97           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             1.50        6.50       59.50       28.50        4.00     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6