Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239335           2          12          62          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107289           2          13          65          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   8.81062e-07           1           0          49          45           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        6.25       59.50       29.00        4.00     C5.1
 
realized                                                                                      C5.6