Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237903           5          26          54          13           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105638           3          14          57          21           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   7.85628e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             2.25       10.00       58.75       24.25        4.75     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0