Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237023           1          29          56          13           1        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104249           2          17          55          22           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.57948e-07           1           0          61          32           6        C8.4
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             1.00       11.75       58.25       24.75        4.25     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C6.6