Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237989           5          25          56          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105799           2          15          58          20           5        C3.9
GOES Xray  =   7.74809e-07           1           0          51          41           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.00       11.50       55.00       27.00        4.50     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1