Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236922           1          29          57          11           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103040           3          17          56          21           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   7.03430e-07           1           0          56          35           8        C8.5
est. ISN   =            59           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.00       16.25       57.50       20.75        3.50     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      M3.9