Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236398           4          29          57           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102539           3          17          53          23           4        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   6.06006e-07           1           0          63          33           3        C6.9
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.50       15.25       58.75       20.75        2.75     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5