Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235534           4          41          44          10           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100395           1          18          56          22           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.77065e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.00       19.50       58.50       17.50        2.50     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7