Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233729           3          46          39          12           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000961835           1          31          51          15           2        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   4.58296e-07           2           1          78          18           1        C4.5
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.25       33.25       50.00       12.75        0.75     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C6.1