Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235344           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000984795           3          18          52          24           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.07065e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            43           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.00       23.25       53.50       18.00        2.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3