Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233933           4          42          39          14           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000958153           2          33          52          12           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.98277e-07           2           1          63          34           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =            30           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             3.25       30.50       48.75       17.00        0.50     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9