Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232834           4          45          41          10           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000930339           3          43          45           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   4.02107e-07           1           2          78          18           1        C3.1
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             3.50       36.25       49.00       11.00        0.25     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2