Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232961           4          47          38          11           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000921940           6          48          40           6           0        B9.3
GOES Xray  =   4.66524e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             4.25       35.75       48.25       11.50        0.25     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9