Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231320           8          38          43          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000895102           5          44          42           9           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   2.47591e-07           4          38          50           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             5.50       41.75       43.75        9.00        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5