Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232356           5          40          47           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000917601           7          51          35           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   3.42262e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             4.75       35.75       48.50       11.00        0.00     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2