Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233908           4          43          39          13           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000951049           1          34          51          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   4.46170e-07           1           1          83          14           1        C3.8
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.25       24.25       60.00       12.00        1.50     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C6.7