Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235190           6          39          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000978965           3          22          52          20           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   5.68720e-07           1           0          71          25           3        C5.1
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.50       19.75       58.00       17.75        2.00     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3