Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235272           5          39          44          11           1        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000984347           3          19          51          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.67602e-07           1           0          69          26           4        C5.3
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.25       18.75       57.00       19.75        2.25     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6