Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235439           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000990994           2          20          50          24           4        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.51377e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.7
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.00       19.50       57.50       18.50        2.50     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9