Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235493           4          42          44          10           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000998047           2          17          53          25           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.02435e-07           2           1          62          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             3.50       27.50       49.00       19.00        1.00     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3