Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234737           4          44          41          10           1        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979977           3          22          53          19           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   4.76626e-07           3           1          71          24           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =            42           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.75       25.75       54.25       14.50        1.75     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3