Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235590           4          41          44          10           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000993501           2          21          49          24           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.28808e-07           2           0          65          30           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.50       21.00       54.75       19.50        2.25     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C5.6