Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234971           4          41          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000986899           3          18          53          23           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.09772e-07           2           0          66          31           1        C5.7
est. ISN   =            48           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             3.25       20.00       56.25       18.50        2.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      M5.2