Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235503           4          42          44          10           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000999935           1          17          56          24           2        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.80574e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       19.00       57.75       20.25        1.50     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1