Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233938           4          42          39          14           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000965900           2          31          50          15           2        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   4.21392e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.75       23.00       58.25       15.50        1.50     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2