Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233788           3          46          39          12           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000964287           2          31          51          14           2        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   4.07632e-07           1           2          79          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.50       24.50       58.50       14.50        1.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3