Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233916           4          41          40          14           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000965460           2          31          50          15           2        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   4.70839e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             3.00       25.25       56.25       14.25        1.25     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4