Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237235           1          27          58          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101344           1          16          58          22           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   1.02055e-06           1           0          30          59          10        M1.4
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             1.50       15.50       53.25       25.25        4.50     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C7.4