Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239733           1          12          63          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105054           3          14          58          20           5        C4.1
GOES Xray  =   1.23710e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             2.25       18.00       46.00       28.25        5.50     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C6.1