Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235343           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000984565           3          19          51          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.83830e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.6
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             4.00       26.75       47.25       19.50        2.50     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5