Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233989           4          44          38          13           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000956372           2          34          52          11           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   5.91844e-07           1           0          69          28           2        C6.5
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.00       30.50       50.75       14.50        1.25     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6