Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232368           5          40          47           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000929693           3          43          45           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.95068e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            46           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             3.25       27.50       57.25       11.00        1.00     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3