Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233691           3          45          39          13           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000954129           1          35          49          14           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   5.00196e-07           2           1          61          35           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             3.00       32.50       46.00       18.00        0.50     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0