Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233028           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000946236           1          35          52          12           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   5.29041e-07           2           0          65          30           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             3.00       33.00       47.25       16.00        0.75     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5