Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232326           5          41          46           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000936782           4          40          47           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.88155e-07           1           3          78          18           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             4.00       32.00       53.50       10.25        0.25     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B8.9