Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231630           8          37          46           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000925235           6          47          41           6           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   3.14792e-07           3          11          75          11           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            36           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             6.00       36.75       48.25        9.00        0.00     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1