Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231854           7          42          44           7           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000928647           4          42          45           9           0        C1.4
GOES Xray  =   3.23804e-07           4          10          72          14           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             5.25       36.00       49.50        9.25        0.00     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)