Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233343           3          49          36          12           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000948773           1          35          50          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.47121e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                             5.00       36.00       47.75       10.50        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2