Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234627           4          48          35          12           1        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000978696           3          22          53          19           3        C2.6
GOES Xray  =   5.70342e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C5.3
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                             6.25       32.25       44.75       15.00        1.75     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0