Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233917           4          42          39          14           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000968812           2          29          50          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   4.67073e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             3.75       30.00       49.00       16.00        1.25     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0