Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235646           4          38          47          10           1        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100434           1          17          57          22           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.83425e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            59           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.00       18.50       58.50       19.00        2.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0