Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235140           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100823           1          17          55          24           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.20866e-07           2           0          64          31           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             2.00       15.25       57.50       23.00        2.25     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1