Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234368           4          47          36          12           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000999234           1          17          54          25           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   4.66991e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =            78           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             2.00       17.50       57.50       20.50        2.50     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4