Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235588           4          41          44          10           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101995           2          17          58          21           2        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   5.79400e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.5
est. ISN   =            69           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             1.50       16.00       59.75       20.75        2.00     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C6.0